Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Brescia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Perugia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | Brescia |
| 45.71% | 26.31% | 27.98% |
| Both teams to score 50.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.11% | 53.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.65% | 75.35% |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% | 23.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.44% | 57.56% |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% | 34.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.06% | 70.94% |
| Score Analysis |
Perugia 45.71%
Brescia 27.98%
Draw 26.31%
| Perugia | Draw | Brescia |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.44% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.71% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.05% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 8.63% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.98% |
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2019 5pm
Third Round
Perugia
2-1
Brescia
Jan 19, 2019 5pm
Aug 24, 2018 8pm
Mar 6, 2018 5pm
Sep 30, 2017 2pm
Brescia
2-1
Perugia
Han (48')
Volta (82')
Volta (82')
