Serie B | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Renato Curi
Perugia4 - 0Brescia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Brescia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bari 0-2 Perugia
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 0-1 Como
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 37%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perugia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | Brescia |
37% ( -0.08) | 28.03% ( -0.01) | 34.97% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.6% ( 0.02) | 58.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21% ( 0.01) | 79% ( -0.02) |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( -0.04) | 30.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.5% ( -0.05) | 66.49% ( 0.04) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( 0.06) | 31.59% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32% ( 0.07) | 68% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Perugia 37%
Brescia 34.96%
Draw 28.03%
| Perugia | Draw | Brescia |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 37% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.96% |
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 1pm
Brescia
2-1
Perugia
Luperini (35')
Curado (4'), Melchiorri (81')
Curado (4'), Melchiorri (81')
Mar 1, 2022 5.30pm
Oct 16, 2021 3.15pm
Perugia
1-0
Brescia
van de Looi (48'), Mateju (50'), Bajic (74')
Aug 18, 2019 5pm
Third Round
Perugia
2-1
Brescia
