Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
