Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
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