Like the first league game of the season, we would expect this to be a close game, with fine margins between the two sides. However, with the injuries on the Parma side, the slight edge could go to Bari. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Bari had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Parma in this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Bari
44.84% ( 0.08)	26.59% ( -0)	28.56% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49.83% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.32% (

-0.02)

54.68% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24% (

-0.02)

76% (

0.02)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.72% (

0.03)

24.28% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.35% (

0.04)

58.65% (

-0.04)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.8% (

-0.07)

34.2% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.1% (

-0.08)

70.9% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Parma 44.84%

Bari 28.56%

Draw 26.59%

Parma	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.84%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 28.56%