Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.