Sudtirol

4 - 3

Ternana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.