Serie B | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati
Ternana2 - 1Modena
Ghiringhelli (7'), Favilli (16')
Di Tacchio (28'), Agazzi (33'), Iannarilli (85'), Paghera (87'), Corrado (88'), Paghera (88'), Mantovani (83')
Di Tacchio (28'), Agazzi (33'), Iannarilli (85'), Paghera (87'), Corrado (88'), Paghera (88'), Mantovani (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Modena.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reggina 2-1 Ternana
Saturday, January 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, January 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 2-0 Cosenza
Saturday, January 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, January 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
31
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Modena had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ternana | Draw | Modena |
44.25% ( 0.02) | 26.43% ( 0.01) | 29.32% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.31% ( -0.03) | 53.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.82% ( -0.03) | 75.18% ( 0.03) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( -0) | 24.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.56% ( -0.01) | 58.44% ( 0.01) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.89% ( -0.04) | 33.11% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.3% ( -0.04) | 69.7% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Ternana 44.25%
Modena 29.32%
Draw 26.42%
| Ternana | Draw | Modena |
| 1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.32% |
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Modena
4-1
Ternana
Diaw (23' pen.), Capuano (32' og.), Falcinelli (64'), Tremolada (68')
Cittadini (7'), De Maio (45+1'), Falcinelli (65')
Cittadini (7'), De Maio (45+1'), Falcinelli (65')
Favilli (50')
