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Serie B | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari
4 - 1
Modena

Botta (6'), Folorunsho (20'), Cittadini (54' og.), Di Cesare (90+1')
Maiello (26'), Caprile (68'), Mallamo (90+1'), Mallamo (90')
Maiello (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Diaw (90+5')
Cittadini (25'), Gerli (35')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cittadella 0-3 Bari
Thursday, December 8 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 2-2 Venezia
Thursday, December 8 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Modena had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
BariDrawModena
53.26% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22) 24.83% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 21.9% (0.166 0.17)
Both teams to score 48.88% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.12% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)52.87% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)74.49% (0.044000000000011 0.04)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-0.11 -0.11)19.82% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.1% (-0.179 -0.18)51.9% (0.178 0.18)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96% (0.134 0.13)39.04% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24% (0.127 0.13)75.76% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bari 53.25%
    Modena 21.9%
    Draw 24.83%
BariDrawModena
1-0 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.13% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.25%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 7.28% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.54% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 21.9%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pisa7421129314
2SpeziaSpezia7340117413
3SassuoloSassuolo733187112
4Cesena7322129311
5Juve StabiaJuve Stabia732277011
6Cremonese631285310
7Mantova7313911-210
8BariBari72329729
9Brescia63038629
10SudtirolSudtirol63039909
11Reggiana72327709
12Modena7223101008
13Sampdoria72239908
14Palermo62225508
15Salernitana7223910-18
16Cittadella722356-18
17CatanzaroCatanzaro714256-17
18FrosinoneFrosinone7133613-76
19Cosenza CalcioCosenza72327705
20Carrarese7115612-64


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