Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Vicenza win it was 1-0 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
