SheBelieves Cup | Group Stage
Feb 23, 2025 at 10pm UK
University of Phoenix Stadium
USA Women2 - 1Australia Women
Coverage of the SheBelieves Cup Group Stage clash between USA Women and Australia Women.
Form, Standings, Stats
SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: USA Women 2-0 Colombia Women
Friday, February 21 at 1am in SheBelieves Cup
Friday, February 21 at 1am in SheBelieves Cup
| Current Group Stage Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan Women | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | USA Women | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Colombia Women | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Australia Women | 1 | -4 | 0 |
SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: Japan Women 4-0 Australia Women
Thursday, February 20 at 10pm in SheBelieves Cup
Thursday, February 20 at 10pm in SheBelieves Cup
| Current Group Stage Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan Women | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | USA Women | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Colombia Women | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Australia Women | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 78.54%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 7.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.01%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for an Australia Women win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA Women | Draw | Australia Women |
78.54% ( 6.19) | 13.99% ( -3.06) | 7.47% ( -3.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.73% ( -2.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
