Australia Women1 - 3England Women
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 12 at 8am in Women's World Cup
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Australia Women | 3 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Nigeria Women | 3 | 1 | 5 |
3 | Canada Women | 3 | -3 | 4 |
4 | Ireland Women | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Saturday, August 12 at 11.30am in Women's World Cup
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England Women | 3 | 7 | 9 |
2 | Denmark Women | 3 | 2 | 6 |
3 | China PR Women | 3 | -5 | 3 |
4 | Haiti Women | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Australia Women win it was 1-0 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Australia Women | Draw | England Women |
20.14% ( 0.08) | 22.21% ( -0.27) | 57.64% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 54.49% ( 1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.85% ( 1.29) | 44.15% ( -1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.47% ( 1.24) | 66.53% ( -1.24) |
Australia Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.15% ( 0.82) | 35.85% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.37% ( 0.83) | 72.63% ( -0.83) |
England Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.95% ( 0.5) | 15.05% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.44% ( 0.95) | 43.56% ( -0.95) |
Score Analysis |
Australia Women | Draw | England Women |
1-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.14% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 6.26% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 2.97% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 57.63% |
How you voted: Bath vs Bath
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Arsenal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
6 | Aston Villa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 16 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Fulham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Brentford | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 5 |
19 | Southampton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 3 |
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