MX23RW : Friday, November 8 16:45:04| >> :600:2237053:2237053:
Australia national football team
Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 31, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Velodrome
USA national football team

Australia Women
1 - 2
USA Women

Kennedy (90+2')
Gustavsson (4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodman (43'), Albert (77')
Coffey (4'), Albert (67')
Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between Australia Women and USA Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Australia Women 6-5 Zambia Women
Sunday, July 28 at 6pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: USA Women 4-1 Germany Women
Sunday, July 28 at 8pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Australia Women had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Australia Women win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for USA Women in this match.

Result
Australia WomenDrawUSA Women
37.54% (3.598 3.6) 23.96% (-1.349 -1.35) 38.49% (-2.25 -2.25)
Both teams to score 61.62% (5.398 5.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (6.782 6.78)40.67% (-6.784 -6.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (6.614 6.61)63.05% (-6.613 -6.61)
Australia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (5.125 5.13)21.73% (-5.126 -5.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (7.26 7.26)54.9% (-7.261 -7.26)
USA Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (1.863 1.86)21.27% (-1.865 -1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.81% (2.806 2.81)54.19% (-2.806 -2.81)
Score Analysis
    Australia Women 37.54%
    USA Women 38.49%
    Draw 23.96%
Australia WomenDrawUSA Women
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.475 0.48)
1-0 @ 7.05% (-1.113 -1.11)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.797 0.8)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.762 0.76)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.386 0.39)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.486 0.49)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.424 0.42)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.272 0.27)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.54%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-1.03 -1.03)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.698 0.7)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-1.591 -1.59)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.464 0.46)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.299 -0.3)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-1.94 -1.94)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-1.12 -1.12)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.521 0.52)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.392 -0.39)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.125 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.26 0.26)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 38.49%

How you voted: Australia Women vs USA Women

Australia Women
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
USA Women
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2021 9am
Bronze Medal match
Australia Women
3-4
USA Women
Kerr (17'), Foord (54'), Gielnik (90')
Rapinoe (8', 21'), Lloyd (45+1', 51')
Jul 27, 2021 9am
Jun 9, 2015 12.30am
Group Stage
USA Women
3-1
Australia Women
Rapinoe (12', 78'), Press (61')
Holiday (56'), Rapinoe (64')
De Vanna (27')