Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NS Mura would win this match.

Result
NS Mura	Draw	Aluminij
48.19% ( -0.9)	24.27% ( 0.46)	27.54% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 56.43% (

-1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.29% (

-1.75)

45.71% (

1.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.97% (

-1.68)

68.03% (

1.68)

NS Mura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.94% (

-1.04)

19.06% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.35% (

-1.75)

50.65% (

1.75)

Aluminij Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72% (

-0.58)

30.28% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.54% (

-0.7)

66.46% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

NS Mura 48.19%

Aluminij 27.54%

Draw 24.26%

NS Mura	Draw	Aluminij
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.2% Total : 48.19%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.26%	0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 27.54%