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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 22, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Sevilla logo

Real Madrid
4 - 2
Sevilla

Mbappe (10'), Valverde (20'), Rodrygo (34'), Diaz (53')
Ancelotti (45+2'), Valverde (78')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Romero (35'), Lukebakio (85')
Sambi Lokonga (12'), Salas (76')

The Match

Match Report

Spanish champions Real Madrid move into second spot in the La Liga table courtesy of a 4-2 success over Sevilla in Sunday afternoon's contest at Bernabeu.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Sevilla.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of the La Liga clash with Sevilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Pachuca
Wednesday, December 18 at 5pm in FIFA Intercontinental Cup
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 72.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawSevilla
72.65% (1.144 1.14) 16.42% (-0.307 -0.31) 10.93% (-0.84 -0.84)
Both teams to score 51.88% (-1.905 -1.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.71% (-0.956 -0.96)36.28% (0.953 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.59% (-1.054 -1.05)58.41% (1.051 1.05)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.31% (0.016000000000005 0.02)8.69% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.09% (0.040999999999997 0.04)29.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.81% (-2.097 -2.1)43.19% (2.094 2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.55% (-1.81 -1.81)79.45% (1.807 1.81)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 72.64%
    Sevilla 10.93%
    Draw 16.42%
Real MadridDrawSevilla
2-0 @ 11.19% (0.54 0.54)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.434 0.43)
3-0 @ 9.12% (0.446 0.45)
3-1 @ 7.66% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
4-0 @ 5.57% (0.277 0.28)
4-1 @ 4.68% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.215 -0.22)
5-0 @ 2.72% (0.138 0.14)
5-1 @ 2.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
6-0 @ 1.11% (0.057 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.062 -0.06)
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 72.64%
1-1 @ 7.7% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.268 -0.27)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.174 0.17)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 16.42%
1-2 @ 3.23% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-1 @ 3.15% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.32% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 0.9% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 10.93%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Real Madrid
Draw
Sevilla
Real Madrid
85.7%
Draw
10.3%
Sevilla
4.0%
126
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Real Madrid
1-0
Sevilla
Modric (81')
Ancelotti (13'), Kroos (35')

Ocampos (70'), Kouassi (90+1'), Sow (90+8')
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Sevilla
1-1
Real Madrid
Alaba (74' og.)
Ramos (76'), Navas (78'), Ocampos (85'), Soumare (87'), Lamela (90+7')
Carvajal (78')
Junior (85'), Ancelotti (85'), Camavinga (90+4')
May 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Sevilla
1-2
Real Madrid
Mir (3')
Jordan (90+1'), Torres (90+7')
Acuna (83')
Rodrygo (29', 69')
Vazquez (33'), Tchouameni (65'), Nacho (84'), Ceballos (90+1')
Oct 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
3-1
Sevilla
Modric (5'), Vazquez (79'), Valverde (81')
Lamela (54')
Apr 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Sevilla
2-3
Real Madrid
Rakitic (21'), Lamela (25')
Martial (39'), Carlos (80'), Torres (83')
Rodrygo (50'), Nacho (82'), Benzema (90+2')
Camavinga (31'), Nacho (78'), Kroos (90+6'), Mariano (90+9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33244589325776
2Real Madrid33226566313572
3Atletico MadridAtletico32189553272663
4Athletic Bilbao331612550262460
5Villarreal321410855451052
6Real BetisBetis3214994540551
7Celta Vigo33137135049146
8Mallorca33128133138-744
9Real Sociedad33126153237-542
10Rayo Vallecano321011113539-441
11Osasuna3291493946-741
12Getafe33109143130139
13Espanyol32109133541-639
14Valencia33912123749-1239
15Sevilla32910133543-837
16AlavesAlaves33810153546-1134
17GironaGirona3297163951-1234
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3388173853-1532
19Leganes32611152948-1929
20Real ValladolidValladolid3244242376-5316


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