Swansea City will be aiming to climb back into the Championship playoffs when they host Luton Town on Saturday.
The Swans fell out of the top six for the first time since the opening day when they lost 2-1 to Middlesbrough in midweek.
Match preview
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The Welsh side conceded a goal either side of half time at the Riverside Stadium before Yan Dhanda's first goal of the season in the 78th minute proved only to be a consolation.
It was only the third time Swansea have been beaten this season and meant that they slipped to seventh in the table on a night when victory would have taken them top.
They are still only two points behind league leaders Norwich City and have a better goal difference than the Canaries.
Steve Cooper will be pleased to now return to the more familiar surroundings of the Liberty Stadium, as no team in the Championship has let in fewer goals at home this season than Swansea (four).
Opponents Luton may simply be focused on not conceding themselves, as their last trip to South Wales only a week ago ended in disaster as they were thrashed 4-0 by Cardiff City.
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However the Hatters bounced back in midweek with an impressive 3-1 victory over aforementioned league leaders Norwich thanks to goals from George Moncur, Matty Pearson and James Collins.
The win took them up to 11th and four points away from the playoffs, so they may see Saturday's game as an opportunity to cut that gap even further.
Aside from their defeat at the Cardiff City Stadium, Luton's away record is good – they have picked up 20 points from a possible 33 on the road since Nathan Jones returned to the club.
Three of those points were earned in a 1-0 win at the Liberty Stadium at the end of June, the 11th successive game between these two sides that has not ended in a draw.
Swansea City Championship form: DLWDWL
Luton Town Championship form: WDDDLW
Team News
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Yan Dhanda could come into the Swansea starting lineup following his goal as a substitute in midweek, while Matt Grimes is also pushing for a start.
Jamal Lowe has not scored in his last eight games and was brought off at half time against Middlesbrough, so could be replaced by Viktor Gyokeres.
Luton's Martin Cranie was forced off through injury just before half time against Norwich, and James Bree is likely to replace him on Saturday.
Other than that one change, Nathan Jones may name the same team that beat the Canaries, with Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu and Elliot Lee sidelined.
Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Woodman; Cabango, Bennett, Guehi; Roberts, Smith, Grimes, Manning; Dhanda; Gyokeres, Ayew
Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Shea; Bree, Lockyer, Pearson, Norrington-Davies; Rea; Clark, Berry, Dewsbury-Hall, Moncur; Collins
We say: Swansea City 1-0 Luton Town
Luton will be full of confidence after beating the league leaders, but a trip to Swansea is undoubtedly a tough one. The Swans are unlikely to have as much joy in front of goal against the Hatters as their South Wales neighbours did, but we are still backing them to come out on top.
Top betting tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
