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Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Luton Town

Swansea
2 - 0
Luton

Roberts (2'), Ayew (90')
Roberts (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rea (52'), Pearson (59')
Pearson (69')

Preview: Swansea City vs. Luton Town - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Swansea City will be aiming to climb back into the Championship playoffs when they host Luton Town on Saturday.

The Swans fell out of the top six for the first time since the opening day when they lost 2-1 to Middlesbrough in midweek.


Match preview

Swansea City's Jay Fulton celebrates with teammates after scoring againt Stoke City in the Championship on October 27, 2020© Reuters

The Welsh side conceded a goal either side of half time at the Riverside Stadium before Yan Dhanda's first goal of the season in the 78th minute proved only to be a consolation.

It was only the third time Swansea have been beaten this season and meant that they slipped to seventh in the table on a night when victory would have taken them top.

They are still only two points behind league leaders Norwich City and have a better goal difference than the Canaries.

Steve Cooper will be pleased to now return to the more familiar surroundings of the Liberty Stadium, as no team in the Championship has let in fewer goals at home this season than Swansea (four).

Opponents Luton may simply be focused on not conceding themselves, as their last trip to South Wales only a week ago ended in disaster as they were thrashed 4-0 by Cardiff City.

Luton Town's George Moncur celebrates scoring against Norwich City in the Championship on December 2, 2020© Reuters

However the Hatters bounced back in midweek with an impressive 3-1 victory over aforementioned league leaders Norwich thanks to goals from George Moncur, Matty Pearson and James Collins.

The win took them up to 11th and four points away from the playoffs, so they may see Saturday's game as an opportunity to cut that gap even further.

Aside from their defeat at the Cardiff City Stadium, Luton's away record is good – they have picked up 20 points from a possible 33 on the road since Nathan Jones returned to the club.

Three of those points were earned in a 1-0 win at the Liberty Stadium at the end of June, the 11th successive game between these two sides that has not ended in a draw.

Swansea City Championship form: DLWDWL

Luton Town Championship form: WDDDLW


Team News

Swansea boss Steve Cooper on February 1, 2020© Reuters

Yan Dhanda could come into the Swansea starting lineup following his goal as a substitute in midweek, while Matt Grimes is also pushing for a start.

Jamal Lowe has not scored in his last eight games and was brought off at half time against Middlesbrough, so could be replaced by Viktor Gyokeres.

Luton's Martin Cranie was forced off through injury just before half time against Norwich, and James Bree is likely to replace him on Saturday.

Other than that one change, Nathan Jones may name the same team that beat the Canaries, with Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu and Elliot Lee sidelined.

Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Woodman; Cabango, Bennett, Guehi; Roberts, Smith, Grimes, Manning; Dhanda; Gyokeres, Ayew

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Shea; Bree, Lockyer, Pearson, Norrington-Davies; Rea; Clark, Berry, Dewsbury-Hall, Moncur; Collins


SM words green background

We say: Swansea City 1-0 Luton Town

Luton will be full of confidence after beating the league leaders, but a trip to Swansea is undoubtedly a tough one. The Swans are unlikely to have as much joy in front of goal against the Hatters as their South Wales neighbours did, but we are still backing them to come out on top.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Swansea vs Luton

Swansea City
51.0%
Draw
30.0%
Luton Town
19.0%
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Luton Town manager Nathan Jones pictured in October 2020
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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