Swiss Super League | Gameweek 34

May 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

St. Jakob-Park

Basel
1 - 1
Lugano

Zeqiri (34')
Zeqiri (38'), Males (62'), Calafiori (63'), Frei (90+4'), Vogel (90+7')
Vogel (0'), Calafiori (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Steffen (84')
Hajrizi (19'), Mahou (89'), Steffen (89'), Saipi (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Basel 1-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lugano

All competitions

Last Game: Lugano 2-1 Winterthur
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Basel	Draw	Lugano
38.74% ( 0.02)	24.03% ( 0.01)	37.23% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 61.34% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.97% (

-0.06)

41.03% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.58% (

-0.06)

63.42% (

0.06)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

-0.02)

21.3% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.76% (

-0.02)

54.24% (

0.03)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.94% (

-0.05)

22.05% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.61% (

-0.07)

55.39% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Basel 38.74%

Lugano 37.23%

Draw 24.03%

Basel	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 38.74%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.37% 1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 37.23%