Swiss Super League | Gameweek 23

Feb 11, 2024 at 1.15pm UK

Stadion Schutzenwiese

Winterthur
2 - 1
Luzern

Ltaief (64'), Schattin (83')
Diaby (9'), Schattin (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Grbic (25' pen.)
Ottiger (50')
Ottiger (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between FC Winterthur and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Winterthur

All competitions

Last Game: Grasshopper 0-1 Winterthur
Saturday, February 3 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Luzern

All competitions

Last Game: Luzern 1-0 St Gallen
Sunday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
FC Winterthur	Draw	Luzern
30% ( 0.15)	23.34% ( 0.2)	46.66% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 61.45% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.12% (

-0.88)

39.87% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.76% (

-0.91)

62.23% (

0.91)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.38% (

-0.34)

25.61% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.5% (

-0.47)

60.5% (

0.47)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.6% (

-0.48)

17.39% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.18% (

-0.83)

47.81% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

FC Winterthur 30%

Luzern 46.66%

Draw 23.34%

FC Winterthur	Draw	Luzern
2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.34%	1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.41% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.98% Total : 46.66%