Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.
