Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Lugano win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
