Lugano

2 - 1

Basel

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.