Basel

4 - 4

Lugano

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 17.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Lugano win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.