Swiss Super League | Gameweek 23

Mar 4, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Swissporarena

Luzern
0 - 1
Basel

Loretz (28'), Beka (51'), Simani (67'), Chader (72')
Chader (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Frei (29' pen.)
Vogel (29'), Lopez (45'), Pelmard (52'), Diouf (67'), Burger (75'), Augustin (85'), Hitz (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luzern

All competitions

Last Game: Luzern 1-0 Grasshopper
Sunday, February 26 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Basel

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Lugano 2-2 Basel
Sunday, February 26 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
Luzern	Draw	Basel
37.23% ( -0.02)	24.16% ( 0.01)	38.6% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 60.86% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.35% (

-0.04)

41.65% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.95% (

-0.04)

64.05% (

0.03)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.67% (

-0.03)

22.33% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.19% (

-0.03)

55.8% (

0.03)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.36% (

-0.02)

21.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.24% (

-0.02)

54.76% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Luzern 37.23%

Basel 38.6%

Draw 24.15%

Luzern	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.23%	1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.15%	1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.6%