Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Dec 15, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
0 - 1
Famalicao

Erison (40'), Ndiaye (41'), Carvalho (71'), Lea Siliki (90+3')
Erison (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Colombatto (9' pen.)
Mihaj (44'), Sa (45+2'), Moura (45+4'), Pablo (65')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Estoril Praia and Famalicao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Torreense
Tuesday, December 6 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Famalicao

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Tondela
Friday, December 9 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Famalicao in this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Famalicao
15.37% ( 0.05)	21.77% ( 0.13)	62.86% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 46.71% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.17% (

-0.44)

49.83% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.17% (

-0.39)

71.83% (

0.39)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.13% (

-0.19)

44.87% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.17% (

-0.15)

80.82% (

0.14)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.73% (

-0.21)

15.27% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.03% (

-0.39)

43.96% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 15.37%

Famalicao 62.85%

Draw 21.76%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.4% Total : 15.37%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.76%	0-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 12.09% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.58% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.08% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 62.85%