Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Dec 6, 2022 at 8.45pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
2 - 2
Torreense

Carvalho (34'), Erison (86')
Martins (84'), Serginho (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Picas (6'), Oliveira (24')
Maciel (84'), Lameira (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Estoril Praia and Torreense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Viseu 3-2 Estoril
Thursday, December 1 at 12.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Torreense

All competitions

Last Game: Torreense 1-0 Famalicao
Friday, December 2 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torreense win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torreense win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Torreense
25.19% ( 0.3)	21.98% ( 0.14)	52.83% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 62.22% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.92% (

-0.36)

37.08% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.73% (

-0.38)

59.27% (

0.38)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.5% (

0.03)

27.49% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.01% (

0.05)

62.99% (

-0.05)

Torreense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.81% (

-0.26)

14.19% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.11% (

-0.51)

41.89% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 25.19%

Torreense 52.83%

Draw 21.98%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Torreense
2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.75% Total : 25.19%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.98%	1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.05% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.55% Total : 52.83%