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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 6, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Benfica

Estoril
1 - 5
Benfica

Serginho (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Musa (25'), Silva (30', 40'), Mario (67'), Ristic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, October 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 1-6 Benfica
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Estoril Praia 0-3 Benfica

Benfica head into the weekend as one of the most in-form sides in the division and will be backing themselves against an Estoril Praia side who have struggled for results on home turf. Looking at past results between the sides, we are tipping Schmidt's side to claim a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.56%) and 0-1 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
8.49% (-0.515 -0.52) 15.2% (-0.524 -0.52) 76.32% (1.041 1.04)
Both teams to score 46.17% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.6% (0.736 0.74)38.4% (-0.732 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.31% (0.775 0.77)60.69% (-0.773 -0.77)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.39% (-0.654 -0.65)49.61% (0.656 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.62% (-0.462 -0.46)84.38% (0.465 0.47)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.62% (0.414 0.41)8.38% (-0.4111 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.84% (1.012 1.01)29.16% (-1.009 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 8.49%
    Benfica 76.3%
    Draw 15.2%
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 2.91% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 2.53% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-0 @ 1.02% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 8.49%
1-1 @ 7.23% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.14% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 15.2%
0-2 @ 12.77% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 10.56% (0.25 0.25)
0-1 @ 10.3% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 7.4% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-4 @ 6.55% (0.279 0.28)
1-4 @ 4.59% (0.112 0.11)
0-5 @ 3.25% (0.198 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-5 @ 2.28% (0.098 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-6 @ 1.34% (0.106 0.11)
1-6 @ 0.94% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 76.3%

How you voted: Estoril vs Benfica

Estoril Praia
8.9%
Draw
1.8%
Benfica
89.3%
56
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 6pm
Benfica
2-1
Estoril
Silva (34'), Ramos (53')
Weigl (29')
Franco (90+3')
Acevedo (10'), Joaozinho (81')
Oct 30, 2021 7pm
Estoril
1-1
Benfica
Rosier (90')
Lourenco (42'), Africo (54'), Geraldes (90+4')
Verissimo (2')
Radonjic (55'), Verissimo (75')
Mar 4, 2021 8.15pm
Benfica
2-0
Estoril
Ramos (43'), Waldschmidt (90')
Tavares (29'), Pizzi (30')

Thierry Lazare (15')
Feb 11, 2021 8.15pm
Estoril
1-3
Benfica
Vidigal (24')
Clovis (12'), Gomes (64')
Nunez (45', 78'), Seferovic (69')
Goncalves (8'), Otamendi (75'), Taarabt (82')
Apr 21, 2018 8.30pm
Estoril
1-2
Benfica
Halliche (63')
Ailton (24'), Allano (51'), Eduardo (74'), Valente (86')
Silva (10'), Salvio (92')
Almeida (72'), Salvio (94'), Varela (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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