MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 22:31:23| >> :60:45:45:
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio Municipal José dos Santos Pinto
Nacional

Sporting Covilha
1 - 2
Nacional

Vilanculos (40')
Rodrigues (83'), Fatai (84'), Yang (86'), Kukula (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vieira (53'), Gomes (87')
Clayton (67'), Danilovic (68')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Sporting Covilha and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Portimonense 2-0 Sporting Covilha
Sunday, November 27 at 11am in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Nacional
Sunday, November 27 at 3pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Sporting Covilha win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Sporting CovilhaDrawNacional
28.14% (0.337 0.34) 25.45% (-0.026 -0.03) 46.41% (-0.312 -0.31)
Both teams to score 53.02% (0.316 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (0.302 0.3)50.38% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67% (0.269 0.27)72.32% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Sporting Covilha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72% (0.414 0.41)32.27% (-0.415 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23% (0.467 0.47)68.77% (-0.468 -0.47)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)21.71% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.87% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Covilha 28.14%
    Nacional 46.41%
    Draw 25.45%
Sporting CovilhaDrawNacional
1-0 @ 7.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.84% (0.069 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.48% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.69% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 28.14%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 10.7% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.17% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.16% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.59% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.41%

How you voted: Sporting Covilha vs Nacional

Sporting Covilha
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Nacional
42.9%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!