Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente2 - 0Nacional
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Gil Vicente and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Covilha 2-2 Gil Vicente
Sunday, November 20 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Sunday, November 20 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, November 19 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
Saturday, November 19 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Nacional |
50.33% ( 0.19) | 24.96% ( 0.02) | 24.71% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.21% ( -0.26) | 50.79% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.32% ( -0.23) | 72.68% ( 0.23) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.81% ( -0.03) | 20.19% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.51% ( -0.05) | 52.49% ( 0.05) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.73% ( -0.32) | 35.27% ( 0.32) |