Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 58.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 20.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 0-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Sporting Covilha win it was 2-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Covilha	Draw	Gil Vicente
20.22% ( 0.11)	21.3% ( 0.04)	58.48% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 57.76% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.11% (

-0.03)

39.89% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.75% (

-0.04)

62.25% (

0.04)

Sporting Covilha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.68% (

0.09)

33.32% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.06% (

0.1)

69.93% (

-0.09)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.62% (

-0.05)

13.38% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.7% (

-0.11)

40.29% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Sporting Covilha 20.22%

Gil Vicente 58.48%

Draw 21.3%

Sporting Covilha	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 20.22%	1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.3%	1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.65% 1-4 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 58.48%