Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Nacional and Tondela.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 3-0 Tondela
Saturday, July 30 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
Saturday, July 30 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Tondela |
37.67% ( 0.01) | 26.4% ( 0.05) | 35.92% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
