Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 99.07%. A draw had a probability of 0.8% and a win for CD Olivais e Moscavide had a probability of 0.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-5 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (14.43%) and 0-6 (13.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.45%), while for a CD Olivais e Moscavide win it was 1-0 (0.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
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