Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Joao Cardoso
Tondela2 - 11e Dezembro
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Tondela and 1e Dezembro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farense 1-0 Tondela
Wednesday, September 27 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Wednesday, September 27 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for 1e Dezembro had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a 1e Dezembro win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | 1e Dezembro |
62.65% ( 0.02) | 22.16% ( -0.01) | 15.18% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.16% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.3% ( 0.01) | 51.7% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.52% ( 0.01) | 73.47% ( -0.01) |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.03% ( 0.01) | 15.97% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.74% ( 0.02) | 45.26% ( -0.02) |
1e Dezembro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.74% ( -0.02) | 46.25% ( 0.02) |