Taca da Liga | Second Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes0 - 1Tondela
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-0 Tondela (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 29 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
Saturday, July 29 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-0 Tondela
With Turra likely to make a few changes, the gulf in class between the clubs may not be as evident, but the Primeira Liga side should get the job done. Tondela are on a woeful run of form and arresting it here appears unlikely against one of the form sides in Portugal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Tondela |
51.59% ( 1.47) | 25.7% ( -0.59) | 22.72% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 47.4% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
