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Trabzonspor
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 9
Oct 17, 2021 at 5pm UK
Huseyin Avni Aker

Trabzonspor
3 - 1
Fenerbahce

Bakasetas (25', 87' pen.), Sari (90')
Ie (61'), Kardesler (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rossi (3')
Kim (14'), Gustavo (37'), Valencia (61'), Szalai (85')
Kim (23')

Preview: Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahce - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Trabzonspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Trabzonspor play host to league leaders Fernerbahce at the Senol Gunes Stadium in a highly-anticipated top-of-the-table clash on Sunday.

With just one point separating the sides after eight rounds of matches, this game has all the makings of a riveting contest, and the hosts will be seeking to get one over the visitors after suffering defeat in both home and away fixtures last season.


Match preview

Fenerbahce's Ozan Tufan celebrates scoring their first goal against Besiktas in the Super Lig in March 2021© Reuters

After securing an impressive fourth-placed finish last term, Trabzonspor have kicked off their quest for a Europa League spot on a good note as they find themselves in the upper echelons of the league standings.

This weekend's hosts returned to winning ways last time out when they edged out a dogged Kayserispor side 2-1 when the sides locked horns at the Kadir Has Stadium.

After Emrah Bassan netted on the stroke of half time to cancel out Anastasios Bakasetas's opener and force a draw heading into the break, Bakasetas struck his second of the game from the penalty spot on the hour mark to hand the hosts their third loss of the season.

Prior to that, Trabzonspor played out a thrilling 2-2 draw away to Konyaspor on September 23 before coming from behind to salvage a 1-1 draw against Alanyaspor four days later.

The Black Sea Storm head into Sunday's contest on a six-game unbeaten run, picking up three wins and three draws since a 3-0 loss at the hands of Italian outfit Roma in the Conference League qualifiers back in August.

This impressive run of results has seen Abdullah Avci's men surge to second place in the Super Lig table, one point behind Sunday's visitors, who have picked up 19 points from their opening eight outings.

Trabzonspor are now one of just two sides yet to taste defeat in the division to date and this fine record has been owing to their solid performance at both ends of the pitch as they boast the league's best attacking record with 16 goals scored, while shipping the second-fewest goals with eight.

Fenerbahce's Mesut Ozil pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Meanwhile, Fenerbahce continued in their quest to unseat reigning champions Besiktas last time out when they claimed a 2-1 win over Kasimpasa.

Coming off the back of a humbling 3-0 loss against Olympiacos in the Europa League, where Giorgos Masouras put on an inspiring performance when he netted a second-half brace, the Yellow Canaries were in need of a morale-booster.

The game was sparked into life shortly after the quarter-hour mark when Mergim Berisha opened the scoring before Luiz Gustavo doubled the lead on the stroke of half time, and after Michal Travnik pulled one back eight minutes after the break, Vitor Pereira's side saw off a comeback scare by holding on to their slender lead.

Fenerbahce have now won each of their most recent three outings in the league, claiming successive victories over Giresunspor, Hatayspor and Kasimpasa since August's 2-0 defeat at Basaksehir.

This brilliant start to the domestic campaign has in no small part been down to their backline who have allowed the joint-fewest goals in the division with six.

While Pereira knows victory on Sunday will be a huge boost to his side's title chances, they face the tough task of taking on an opposing side who are unbeaten at home in four of the most recent five meetings between the sides, claiming three wins and one draw.

Trabzonspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W

Fenerbahce Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Fenerbahce form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W


Team News

Abdullah Avci, now in charge of Trabzonspor, pictured in 2019© Reuters

Trabzonspor head into the game with several issues to contend with on the injury front as the likes of Dorukhan Tokoz and Bengali-Fode Koita are presently sidelined through hip injuries.

Former Napoli man Marek Hamsik sustained a slight leg injury and will be assessed ahead of the game, while Abdulkadir Parmak misses out after picking up a muscle problem back in September.

Vitor Hugo will serve the last of a three-game suspension, while with five goal involvements in his last five league outings, Bakasetas has been on song for the hosts and the Greek international will be one to look out for in this one.

On the other hand, despite multiple injury woes, Pereira has done brilliantly to steer Fenerbahce to the summit of the Super Lig standings.

The Yellow Canaries remain without the services of Irfan Can Kahveci, who has managed just two appearances this season as he battles with a hamstring problem.

The 26-year-old midfielder is joined on the club's injury table by fellow countryman Nazim Sangare and Argentine midfielder Jose Sosa, who have both been sidelined since August's game against Altay.

Marcel Tisserand is also out of contention for Fenerbahce after hobbling off the pitch injured midway through the first half of the game versus Sivasspor on August 12.

Trabzonspor possible starting lineup:
Cakir; Peres, Ie, Kaplan, Koybasi; Ozdemir, Hamsik; Nwakaeme, Bakasetas, Djaniny; Cornelius

Fenerbahce possible starting lineup:
Bayindir; Novak, Min-Jae, Szalai; Kadioglu, Yandas, Gustavo, Gumuskaya; Berisha, Rossi, Valencia


SM words green background

We say: Trabzonspor 1-1 Fenerbahce

Sunday's game has all the makings of a nerve-racking contest as both sides, who find themselves at the top of the pile, will be seeking to kick on with their fine run of results.

Trabzonspor have turned their home ground into a fortress domestically since they last lost back in March against Alanyaspor. However, we predict the spoils will be shared in this one as they head into the game evenly matched on paper.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahce

Trabzonspor
40.0%
Draw
33.3%
Fenerbahce
26.7%
15
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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