MX23RW : Thursday, September 12 12:52:49| >> :600:36791676:36791676:
European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium

Malta U19s
0 - 4
Italy U19s


Micallef (32'), Mendes (33')
Micallef (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ndour (19' pen.), Pio Esposito (32' pen.), D'Andrea (47'), Vignato (90+2' pen.)
Regonesi (50')
Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Malta Under-19s and Italy Under-19s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta Under-19s

Last Game: Malta U19s 2-2 Azerbaijan U19s
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Italy Under-19s

All competitions
Last Game: England U19s 2-1 Italy U19s
Tuesday, June 28 at 4pm in European Under-19s Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 75.16%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Malta Under-19s had a probability of 9.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Malta Under-19s win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-19s would win this match.

Result
Malta Under-19sDrawItaly Under-19s
9.54% (0.543 0.54) 15.3% (0.622 0.62) 75.16% (-1.166 -1.17)
Both teams to score 50.67% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.9% (-1.278 -1.28)35.1% (1.278 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.9% (-1.44 -1.44)57.1% (1.437 1.44)
Malta Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.99% (0.224 0.22)45.01% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.06% (0.179 0.18)80.94% (-0.179 -0.18)
Italy Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.14% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)7.85% (0.536 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.16% (-1.383 -1.38)27.84% (1.381 1.38)
Score Analysis
    Malta Under-19s 9.54%
    Italy Under-19s 75.16%
    Draw 15.3%
Malta Under-19sDrawItaly Under-19s
2-1 @ 2.87% (0.142 0.14)
1-0 @ 2.82% (0.196 0.2)
2-0 @ 1.13% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 0.97% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 9.54%
1-1 @ 7.18% (0.313 0.31)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.085 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.54% (0.225 0.23)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 15.3%
0-2 @ 11.44% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 9.7% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.155 0.15)
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.337 0.34)
1-3 @ 7.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 6.17% (-0.277 -0.28)
1-4 @ 4.93% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-5 @ 3.14% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.51% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-4 @ 1.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-6 @ 1.33% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-6 @ 1.06% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-5 @ 1% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 75.16%

How you voted: Malta U19s vs Italy U19s

Malta Under-19s
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Italy Under-19s
85.7%
7
rhs 2.0
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