MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 13:15:51| >> :60:84:84:
Corinthians
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
3 - 1
Juventude

Romero (29'), Freitas (82' og.)
Garro (14'), Fagner (38'), Souza (43'), Romero (90+10'), Romero (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Souza (41' og.)
Ventura (15'), Marcos (45'), Carrillo (62'), Ronaldo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Corinthians and Juventude, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Flamengo
Sunday, September 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-0 Juventude
Friday, September 6 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 1-0 Juventude (Corinthians advances on penalties)

Corinthians have been in this position many times recently at this tournament, and that experience should allow them to maintain their composure against a Juve side in unfamiliar territory at the Copa do Brasil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawJuventude
55.41% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 23.59% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)48.91% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)71% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)17.5% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.99% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)48% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)37.69% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)74.47% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 55.39%
    Juventude 21%
    Draw 23.58%
CorinthiansDrawJuventude
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 55.39%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 6.44% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 21%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Juventude

Corinthians
66.7%
Draw
20.8%
Juventude
12.5%
48
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2024 12am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Juventude
2-1
Corinthians
Carrillo (67'), Boza (87')
Lucas (18'), Marcos (74')
Henrique (90+3')
Henrique (3'), Diaz (3'), Caca (10'), Matheuzinho (63'), Planelles Donelli (73'), Ramalho (85')
Aug 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 21
Corinthians
1-1
Juventude
Henrique (48')
Coronado (30'), Garro (56')
Ruschel (4')
Ventura (31'), Thiaguinho (45+13'), Jadson (47'), Ruschel (52'), Gilberto (87'), Sam (90+4'), Gustavo da Silva Machado Duarte (90+5'), Claus (90+7')
Gabriel (45+2'), Ruschel (57'), Ruschel (57')
Apr 18, 2024 12am
Gameweek 2
Juventude
2-0
Corinthians
Carlos (53'), Barbosa (59')
Caique (70'), Jadson (90')
Jadson (90+6')

Garro (82')
Oct 5, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 30
Juventude
2-2
Corinthians
Ruiz (46'), Pitta (62')
Giuliano (24'), Alberto (54')
Jun 11, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Corinthians
2-0
Juventude
Adson (2'), Mantuan (84')
Giuliano (46')

Jean (17'), Mendes (59'), Gabriel (73'), Yuri (86')
rhs 2.0
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