Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Dominican Republic Under-20s had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Dominican Republic Under-20s win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-20s would win this match.