MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 06:51:37| >> :60:393:393:
Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage
May 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

Dominican Republic U20s
0 - 3
Italy U20s


de Pena (3'), Boatwright (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Casadei (19', 84'), Ambrosino (50')
Ghilardi (31'), Pafundi (41')
Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between Dominican Republic Under-20s and Italy Under-20s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brazil U20s 6-0 Dominican Republic U20s
Wednesday, May 24 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup
Last Game: Italy U20s 0-2 Nigeria U20s
Wednesday, May 24 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Dominican Republic Under-20s had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Dominican Republic Under-20s win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-20s would win this match.

Result
Dominican Republic Under-20sDrawItaly Under-20s
26.27% (1.208 1.21) 25.75% (0.398 0.4) 47.98% (-1.608 -1.61)
Both teams to score 50.71% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27% (-0.684 -0.68)52.73% (0.681 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63% (-0.588 -0.59)74.36% (0.586 0.59)
Dominican Republic Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65% (0.65400000000001 0.65)34.99% (-0.656 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.26% (0.681 0.68)71.73% (-0.68400000000001 -0.68)
Italy Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (-0.982 -0.98)21.99% (0.979 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71% (-1.508 -1.51)55.29% (1.505 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Dominican Republic Under-20s 26.27%
    Italy Under-20s 47.97%
    Draw 25.74%
Dominican Republic Under-20sDrawItaly Under-20s
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.354 0.35)
2-1 @ 6.43% (0.209 0.21)
2-0 @ 4.24% (0.258 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.49% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 26.27%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.69% (0.205 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 11.65% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 8.83% (-0.29 -0.29)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-3 @ 4.46% (-0.285 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.97%

rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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