Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-21s win with a probability of 89.56%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for Moldova Under-21s had a probability of 2.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 4-0 (11.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Moldova Under-21s win it was 0-1 (1.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Under-21s would win this match.