Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic Under-21s win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Lithuania Under-21s had a probability of 14.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Lithuania Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Czech Republic Under-21s would win this match.
