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European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 8, 2020 at 5pm UK
 

N. Ireland U21s
0 - 1
Denmark U21s


Larkin (74'), Galbraith (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Skov Olsen (75' pen.)

The Match

Match Report

Danes end Northern Ireland's European Under-21 Championship qualifying hopes

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark Under-21s win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Northern Ireland Under-21s had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Northern Ireland Under-21s win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Denmark Under-21s in this match.

Result
Northern Ireland Under-21sDrawDenmark Under-21s
27.62%25.5%46.88%
Both teams to score 52.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.13%50.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25%72.75%
Northern Ireland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.07%32.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5%69.5%
Denmark Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3%21.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.14%54.86%
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland Under-21s 27.62%
    Denmark Under-21s 46.88%
    Draw 25.49%
Northern Ireland Under-21sDrawDenmark Under-21s
1-0 @ 7.94%
2-1 @ 6.74%
2-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 1.91%
3-0 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 27.62%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 10.91%
1-2 @ 9.26%
0-2 @ 8.34%
1-3 @ 4.72%
0-3 @ 4.25%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.8%
0-4 @ 1.62%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 46.88%

Head to Head
Oct 10, 2019 5pm
Qualifying Round
Denmark U21s
2-1
N. Ireland U21s
Poulsen (30'), Odgaard (86')
Bruun Larsen (66'), Odgaard (92')
Dunwoody (57')
Toal (66'), Marron (67')
rhs 2.0
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