MX23RW : Tuesday, November 19 11:36:28| >> :600:43120371:43120371:
Portugal national football team
European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni

Portugal U21s
2 - 1
Belgium U21s

Neves (56'), Dantas (89' pen.)
Dantas (30'), Amaro (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vertessen (64')
De Winter (14'), De Cuyper (70'), Mathijssen (83'), Debast (87'), Vandevoordt (88'), Raskin (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Portugal Under-21s and Belgium Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal U21s 1-1 Netherlands U21s
Saturday, June 24 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Georgia U21s 2-2 Belgium U21s
Saturday, June 24 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Portugal Under-21s 1-0 Belgium Under-21s

Portugal have struggled in the competition thus far, but we are backing them to win on Tuesday, which would leave them in a position to potentially qualify for the quarter-finals of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Belgium Under-21s had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Belgium Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portugal Under-21s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portugal Under-21s.

Result
Portugal Under-21sDrawBelgium Under-21s
49.21% (0.154 0.15) 23.74% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 27.05% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 57.82% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (0.18 0.18)43.69% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (0.177 0.18)66.08% (-0.178 -0.18)
Portugal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (0.128 0.13)17.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (0.22 0.22)48.65% (-0.221 -0.22)
Belgium Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (0.02000000000001 0.02)29.59% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02)65.63% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portugal Under-21s 49.21%
    Belgium Under-21s 27.05%
    Draw 23.74%
Portugal Under-21sDrawBelgium Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 49.21%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.74%
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Portugal U21s vs Belgium U21s

Portugal Under-21s
56.5%
Draw
26.1%
Belgium Under-21s
17.4%
46
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