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Portugal national football team
European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 9, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Nacional

Portugal U21s
4 - 1
Norway U21s

Neto (6', 16'), Fonseca (69'), Fernandes (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Strand Larsen (34')
Evjen (23')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Portugal Under-21s and Norway Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Norway Under-21s had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Norway Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Portugal Under-21sDrawNorway Under-21s
41.7%24.18%34.11%
Both teams to score 60.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.77%42.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.37%64.63%
Portugal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57%20.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13%52.86%
Norway Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72%24.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35%58.64%
Score Analysis
    Portugal Under-21s 41.7%
    Norway Under-21s 34.11%
    Draw 24.17%
Portugal Under-21sDrawNorway Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.86%
1-0 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 41.7%
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-1 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 4.97%
1-3 @ 3.72%
2-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.11%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2019 5.30pm
Qualifying Round
Norway U21s
2-3
Portugal U21s
Thorstvedt (83' pen.), Strand Larsen (90')
Thorstvedt (4'), Evjen (58'), Fredriksen (72'), Bohinen (77')
Vieira (2', 78'), Jota (20')
Queiros (23'), Mota (91')
Queiros (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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13West Ham UnitedWest Ham186572330-723
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20Southampton1813141137-266


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