Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania Under-21s win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Ukraine Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.