Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 16
Feb 26, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin
Desna3 - 0Inhulets
Totovytsky (34'), Gitchenko (57'), Ermakov (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Inhulets.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Desna Chernihiv | Draw | Inhulets |
| 41.38% | 25.57% | 33.05% |
| Both teams to score 55.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
