Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 14
Feb 13, 2021 at 12pm UK
Slavutych Arena
Luhansk2 - 1Desna
Hladkyy (18', 62')
Ivanisenya (81')
Ivanisenya (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Totovytsky (21')
Imerekov (51'), Ogirya (64'), Konoplia (77'), Kalitvintsev (90+2'), Budkivskyi (90+3')
Imerekov (51'), Ogirya (64'), Konoplia (77'), Kalitvintsev (90+2'), Budkivskyi (90+3')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Desna Chernihiv.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
Result | ||
Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Desna Chernihiv |
45.1% | 25.36% | 29.53% |
Both teams to score 54.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.75% | 49.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.69% | 71.31% |
Zorya Luhansk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% | 21.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.95% | 55.05% |
Desna Chernihiv Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% | 30.65% |