Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chornomorets Odesa would win this match.