Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Desna Chernihiv in this match.