Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inhulets in this match.