Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.