Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.